Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.003074 0.003219 0.003366 0.003527 0.003699 0.003878 0.004077
2025-02-23 0.002798 0.003012 0.003238 0.003496 0.003784 0.004094 0.004457
2025-03-02 0.002664 0.002922 0.003203 0.003533 0.003911 0.004333 0.004843
2025-03-09 0.002533 0.002820 0.003138 0.003520 0.003969 0.004482 0.005121
2025-03-16 0.002418 0.002726 0.003073 0.003496 0.004004 0.004599 0.005358
2025-03-23 0.002305 0.002625 0.002991 0.003446 0.004000 0.004663 0.005526
2025-03-30 0.002209 0.002539 0.002921 0.003403 0.004000 0.004726 0.005691
2025-04-06 0.002146 0.002488 0.002891 0.003404 0.004051 0.004851 0.005936
2025-04-13 0.002034 0.002374 0.002777 0.003297 0.003960 0.004792 0.005937
2025-04-20 0.001986 0.002336 0.002755 0.003301 0.004008 0.004909 0.006173
2025-04-27 0.001963 0.002326 0.002766 0.003348 0.004112 0.005101 0.006517
2025-05-04 0.001905 0.002271 0.002719 0.003316 0.004110 0.005151 0.006666
2025-05-11 0.001857 0.002228 0.002685 0.003303 0.004132 0.005236 0.006869
2025-05-18 0.001806 0.002179 0.002643 0.003275 0.004134 0.005293 0.007035
2025-05-25 0.001784 0.002167 0.002647 0.003309 0.004220 0.005468 0.007378
2025-06-01 0.001744 0.002130 0.002618 0.003297 0.004241 0.005552 0.007590
2025-06-08 0.001703 0.002090 0.002584 0.003275 0.004247 0.005613 0.007770
2025-06-15 0.001654 0.002039 0.002533 0.003229 0.004217 0.005619 0.007863
2025-06-22 0.001611 0.001994 0.002487 0.003190 0.004194 0.005634 0.007971
2025-06-29 0.001585 0.001971 0.002472 0.003191 0.004229 0.005736 0.008219
2025-07-06 0.001523 0.001898 0.002388 0.003093 0.004117 0.005614 0.008099
2025-07-13 0.001501 0.001879 0.002376 0.003097 0.004154 0.005716 0.008350
2025-07-20 0.001494 0.001881 0.002392 0.003140 0.004250 0.005913 0.008767